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Professor Edoardo Patelli

Civil and Environmental Engineering

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Personal statement

I am a professor in Risk and Uncertainty Quantification and the Head of the Centre for Intelligent Infrastructure at the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering. I am working in a multidisciplinary environment in collaboration with members from all the university faculties and strong links with world-leading scholars. I am the Chair of the Technical Committee on Simulation for Safety and Reliability Analysis of the European Safety and Reliability Association (ESRA), Chair of the Technical Committee for the 2019 and 2022 European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL), Member of the Committee on Probability and Statistics in the Physical Sciences (part of the Bernoulli Society), Academic Adviser to the Commonwealth Scholarship Commission and member of the UK Nuclear Innovation and Research Advisory Board (NIRAB). My current research interests are in:

  • Nuclear safety
  • Efficient and readable numerical methods for uncertainty quantification
  • Resilience Engineering for critical infrastructure
  • Digital twin and efficient simulation methods capable of managing and quantifying uncertainty
  • Developing Trustful AI and Learning Algorithms for Imprecise and Bad Data
  • On-line monitoring tools for nuclear systems, Civil infrastructure and aerospace
  • Human reliability analysis and interaction with autonomous systems
  • Risk communication

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Prize And Awards

Recipient
17/6/2025
Recipient
1/9/2022

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Publications

Cangul Ozcel, Rocchetta Roberto,
Energy Reports Vol 15 (2026)
Xiang ChangSheng, Zhao Hua, Wu GuoJi, Chen LiJuan, ,
Structural Health Monitoring, pp. 1-28 (2026)
, Moura Raphael,
Proceedings of the 36th European Safety and Reliability Conference European Safety and Reliability Conference (2026)
, Morais Caroline,
Reliability Engineering and System Safety Vol 264 (2025)
, Estrada-Lugo Hector Diego, Ferson Scott,
Digitalisation and Digital Transformation Communications in Computer and Information Science, pp. 113–118 (2025)
MacDonald E, ,
Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment Vol 39, pp. 2789-2816 (2025)

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Teaching

I am currently teaching:

  • Probability and statistics
  • Structural reliability 
  • Monte Carlo methods
  • Bayesian approaches 
  • FMEA, Fault Tree, Event Tree 
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Research Interests

My primary research interests focus on the general area of risk analysis, uncertainty modelling and quantification, sensitivity analysis, nuclear safety, reliability and availability of complex systems. In particular,  the focus is on the development of verified and efficient stochastic computational methods able to model different representation of the uncertainty and providing trustful reliability analysis and risk assessment.
The numerical implementations have resulted in the development of an open-source general-purpose software package for uncertainty quantification and stochastic analysis.

Professional Activities

Participant
7/2/2025
Participant
30/1/2025
Peer reviewer
1/8/2024
Host
1/1/2024
Associate Editor
30/6/2023
Keynote/plenary speaker
14/6/2023

Projects

Dethlef, Nina (Principal Investigator) Kamranzad, Bahareh (Co-investigator) Patelli, Edoardo (Co-investigator) Carroll, James (Co-investigator)
Europe requires a seven-fold expansion of offshore wind (OSW) capacity by 2030 to achieve its ambitious net zero goals. Meeting this target in a way that is safe, resilient and sustainable requires new turbine structures but also solutions to bottlenecks in grid and port infrastructure, streamlined regulatory processes and optimisation of socio-economic benefits for coastal communities. Co-existence adds further complexity through OSW interactions with fisheries, sea users and marine ecosystems, where long-term impacts remain poorly understood. Artificial Intelligence (AI) has potential to enable transformative change to OSW site planning and logistics, impact assessment and workforce training. It can inform processes to overcome barriers across regulation, infrastructure, and coexistence. However, with growing automation of operational infrastructure, new vulnerabilities arise. Cybersecurity risks, such as external model manipulation, data theft, and unsafe agent behaviour, pose threats to turbines, grids, and autonomous vessels, and could undermining energy security. AI’s own environmental footprint has also come under scrutiny, highlighting the need for low-cost, energy-efficient algorithms. Moreover, climate change introduces deep uncertainty for OSW design and operations through shifts in wind patterns, rising sea levels, and intensifying storms that can complicate energy yield forecasts, structural health monitoring, and vessel access. AI can support adaptation by downscaling climate models, forecasting extreme events, and embedding risk-aware learning into digital twins. This COST Action convenes a balanced, inclusive, geographically-diverse network of experts. By highlighting gaps in data, knowledge, regulation, and best practice, it will create roadmaps towards safe, sustainable, digitally-enabled OSW growth and strengthen Europe’s OSW leadership.

Funding: €140K per year (duration: 4 years)
19-Jan-2026 - 18-Jan-2030
Karvounis, Panagiotis (Principal Investigator) Theotokatos, Gerasimos (Co-investigator) Boulougouris, Evangelos (Co-investigator) Patelli, Edoardo (Co-investigator) Ward, Michael (Co-investigator)
£39,964.61
01-Jan-2026 - 31-Jan-2027
Theotokatos, Gerasimos (Principal Investigator) Boulougouris, Evangelos (Co-investigator) Patelli, Edoardo (Co-investigator) Ward, Michael (Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2026 - 31-Jan-2026
Patelli, Edoardo (Principal Investigator) Fossati, Marco (Co-investigator) Basu, Tathagata (Research Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2026 - 31-Jan-2026
Patelli, Edoardo (Principal Investigator) Hamilton, Andrea (Co-investigator) Vinitha Jose, Jittu (Research Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2025 - 01-Jan-2029
Patelli, Edoardo (Principal Investigator)
Student - Innes O'Donnell
01-Jan-2025 - 30-Jan-2027

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Contact

Professor Edoardo Patelli
Civil and Environmental Engineering

Email: edoardo.patelli@strath.ac.uk
Tel: 548 4682